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Washington Post - Doubts, concerns greet Syria cease-fire deal as violence surges - Liz Sly, Karen de Young

11 September 2016
“ The U.S.-Russian deal could change the course of the Syria war, but there are questions about how it will work. „
Washington Post - Doubts, concerns greet Syria cease-fire deal as violence surges - Liz Sly, Karen de Young

Doubts, concerns greet Syria cease-fire deal as violence surges

The U.S. and Russia reached a deal on Syria's cease-fire. Here's how it happened.

The United States and Russia announced a new multi-step plan to bring Syria closer to a negotiated peace deal. (Jason Aldag, Karen DeYoung/The Washington Post)

By Liz Sly and Karen DeYoung September 10 at 10:15 PM

BEIRUT — The Syrian government embarked on a wave of intense airstrikes against opposition-controlled areas Saturday, killing scores of people only hours after the announcement of a new cease-fire deal between Russia and the United States.

The attacks, which killed more than 80 people in the rebel-held cities of Idlib and Aleppo, compounded skepticism expressed by the opposition that this deal will work where others have failed to end the war.

The agreement was announced early Saturday in Geneva by Secretary of State John F. Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov after months of haggling over details. It was hailed by the two leaders as a breakthrough in the quest to bring about a negotiated settlement to the five-year-old war.

The deal goes further than a more limited one that collapsed earlier this year because it places U.S.-Russian military cooperation in the fight against terrorism at the center of the effort to end Syria’s war.

If implemented in accordance with the vision outlined by Kerry at an overnight news conference with Lavrov in Geneva, the agreement will transform the battlefield and bring about much-needed relief from the relentless suffering.

Scenes from Aleppo

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The Syrian government has dropped two chlorine bombs in the past month on the besieged, rebel-held city.

Civilians will be protected from airstrikes, desperate communities will receive all the food and medicine they need, Russia and the United States will work together to vanquish terrorists and new negotiations will begin to secure an eventual end to the rule of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his regime.

The deal does not, however, address the inherent contradictions that have scuttled past efforts to end the fighting — including the question of why Assad’s government would cooperate with a process that the United States insists is intended to lead to his departure, or whether Russia supports that goal.

It also does not explain why the group identified as the chief target of the proposed U.S. and Russian military cooperation would comply with a cease-fire intended to bring about its destruction. Kerry and Lavrov named as the main target of the proposed joint strikes the former al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra — which has now rebranded itself as the Front for the Conquest of Syria, or Jabhat Fatah al-Sham.

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The Syrian opposition said it would have to closely study the details of the deal before reaching a decision on whether to abide by it. The Syrian government had no immediate comment, though both Kerry and Lavrov said Russia had consulted Damascus and that Assad had given his assent.

[Battle for Aleppo may be the most crucial of the Syrian civil war]

Meanwhile, battles erupted across Syria as both sides took advantage of what may be the last opportunity to kill opponents and grab territory ahead of the implementation of the cease-fire, due to begin Monday.


Warplanes struck a busy market in the northern city of Idlib, killing at least 36 people, according to activists and the human rights monitor the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Government planes also carried out strikes over multiple neighborhoods in the city of Aleppo, killing at least 45. Government forces seized more territory outside Aleppo, tightening the siege of opposition areas, according to the Syrian news agency SANA.

Residents of rebel-controlled eastern Aleppo expressed dismay that the cease-fire deal was reached only after government loyalists had succeeded in imposing a total siege of opposition areas by seizing control of the last rebel-controlled route Sunday. The agreement freezes the current front lines and therefore the siege in place, sending a message that the government blockade of Aleppo has a stamp of international approval, said Abdulkafi al-Hamdo, a resident of the rebel-held area.

“They waited until Assad and Russia besieged Aleppo and then they reached a cease-fire,” he said. “People are disgusted.”

Syrian rebels announced a new offensive against government forces in the southern province of Quneitra. In a reminder of the complexity of the war, Israeli warplanes bombed Syrian government positions there because stray shells landed inside Israel, the Israeli army said.

Opposition spokeswoman Bassma Kodmani said there are many outstanding questions raised by the agreement. Foremost is the question of whether there are meaningful enforcement mechanisms to deter the government from continuing to bombard civilians and regain territory from rebel groups.

“The regime needs to be forced to comply and have a commitment from Russia that the regime will be forced to comply,” she said. “If there are no consequences to noncompliance, we are back to counting on the goodwill of a party that has never shown any goodwill.”

There are parts of the agreement that have not been made public, both Kerry and Lavrov said, including five documents that go into the specifics of its implementation. Kerry acknowledged the concerns, but said the deal had “potential” to work because of the efforts Moscow and Washington have put into it over many months. “No one is building this based on trust. It is based on a way of providing oversight and compliance through mutual interest,” he said.

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The success of the deal will depend, however, on the extent to which both parties can influence their allies on the ground in Syria to comply with its terms.

According to the details spelled out in Geneva, after seven consecutive days of calm and the delivery of humanitarian aid, the United States and Russia will start working on a plan to carry out coordinated air attacks against terrorist groups — notably Jabhat Fatah al-Sham as well as the Islamic State. Moderate rebels will be expected to disentangle themselves from the former Nusra group or face airstrikes themselves. The Syrian government will be allowed to resume its airstrikes in areas that have yet to be agreed on.

Joint action with the United States has been a long-standing Russian demand, and this part of the proposal may give Moscow more of an incentive to pressure the Syrian government to comply with the cease-fire than it had in the past.

But the disentanglement requirement could further complicate implementation of the deal, said Faysal Itani of the Atlantic Council. For the opposition, “it means entering a confrontation it cannot win or risk coming under attack itself by the United States and or Russia,” he said. “At the end of the day, in the absence of enforcement mechanisms, anything that weakens the opposition strengthens the regime.”

Syrian rebels generally don’t cooperate with Jabhat Fatah al-Sham, said Mohib Abdulsalam, a rebel with the Aleppo Revolutionaries, a moderate group. “It’s a good deal if it actually happens,” he said. “But politicians say a lot of things about Syria and they don’t implement them.”

Zakaria Zakaria in Istanbul and Heba Habib in Stockholm contributed to this report.

Washington Post